본 연구는 2024년 트럼프의 대선 승리의 배경과 트럼프 당선이 가져올 미국 내외의 변화를 전망하고자 한다. 구체적으로 2024 미국 대선 과정과 결과를 분석하고, 트럼프 2기 정부의 대외정책과 대북정책을 살펴본다. 본 글은 5장으로 구성되어 있다. 서론에서 2024년 대선의 특징을 살펴본다. Ⅱ 장에서는 2024년 대선의 주요 이슈 및 선거 결과를 분석한다. 이번 대선의 주요 이슈였던 인플레이션, 이민, 낙태, 그리고 민주주의 위기와 관련한 세부 쟁점 사안과 관련 여론을 살펴본다. 그리고 선거 결과를 인종, 연령, 성 등 인구학적 특성에 따라 이전 선거들과 비교‧분석한다. Ⅲ 장에서는 차기 트럼프 정부의 대외정책 기조를 살펴 보고, 이를 바탕으로 미중경쟁, 러우전쟁, 가자전쟁에 대한 미국의 대응을 전망한다. Ⅳ 장에서는 차기 트럼프 정부의 대북정책을 살펴본다. 마지 막 V 장에서는 연구를 요약하고 한미관계와 남북관계에 대한 제언을 한다.

Ⅰ. 서론 ····································································································11 1. 문제 제기 ···························································································13 2. 2024 대선 특징 ··············································································15 Ⅱ. 2024 미국 대선 주요 이슈와 결과 ···················································19 1. 트럼프 당선 배경과 요인 ··································································21 2. 2024 대선 이슈와 여론····································································23 3. 2024 대선 결과 분석·······································································30 4. 트럼프 2기 주요 국내정책과 전망 ···················································45 5. 소결· ···································································································49 Ⅲ. 트럼프 2기 대외정책 전망 ·································································53 1. 트럼프 2기 대외정책 기조와 전략 ···················································55 2. 트럼프 2기 대외정책 전망 ·······························································60 3. 소결· ···································································································81 Ⅳ. 트럼프 2기 대북정책 전망 ·································································83 1. 미국의 대북정책 현황 ·······································································85 2. 트럼프 2기 대북정책 전망 ·······························································96 3. 소결· ·································································································110 Ⅴ. 결론 ··································································································113 1. 연구요약 ·························································································115 2. 정책제언 ·························································································119 참고문헌 ·································································································127 최근 발간자료 안내 ··············································································133