통일연구원퀵메뉴 KINU 한반도동향 온라인시리즈 전자도서관 새창이동 연구과제제안

홈 KINU연구 주제별 통일 일반

통일-일반

프린터

2011 Unification Clock: When Will We See a Unified Korea?

게시글 상세보기
저자 Park Young-Ho,Kim Hyeong Ki
발행년도/페이지 2011 / 75 p. ;
시리즈번호
가격
원문 새창이동
조회수 599
  • 목차
  • 초록
Introduction



Chapter I The 2010 Survey Review and Overview of the 2011 Survey



Chapter II The Delphi Panel: Unification Clock



Chapter III The Delphi Panel: Unification Factors



Chapter IV Public Opinion



Summary and Conclusion
The Unification Forecasting Clock is a three-year project conducted by the Korea Institute for National Unification (KINU) that spans the years 2009 through 2011. The purpose of the project is simple but weighty: When will unification occur and what will bring it about? In order to answer these questions, especially given that half of the peninsula is veiled in mystery, we need to adopt a judgment-based quantitative method using the Delphi technique.
Numerous studies related to the unification issue have accumulated; however, in most cases the focus was on pending issues and short-term policy goals. Moreover, very little research could be found that scientifically reviews and predicts the factors for unification based on objective data. Thus, the goal of this research is to objectively measure and analyze various factors that affect unification and to design an optimal forecast model (Unification Forecast Clock) to demonstrate a peaceful solution.